AMALLAH,
West Bank
Anyone who
has sought an interview with Yasir Arafat learns the drill — agree
with his lieutenants on a range of days, pick a nearby hotel and
wait. At some point after midnight, you will be summoned. The old
man, dressed in battle fatigues with his headdress folded in the
diamond shape of mandatory Palestine, a pistol attached to his hip,
will arrive in a hurricane of aides and hangers-on. He will grab
your hand for emphasis but ignore many of your questions.
It is against
such a background that one measures an appointment with the new
Palestinian prime minister, Mahmoud Abbas (also known as Abu Mazen),
who will hold his first White House meeting with President Bush
on Friday. The hour for our interview last Saturday in his functional
Ramallah office was set in advance — 7 p.m. At two minutes past,
dressed in a dull brown suit, he walked in accompanied by two aides.
There is no bravado, no hand grabbing. When asked if the Palestinian
Authority has the strength to take charge of West Bank cities that
he wants the Israeli military to evacuate, the 67-year-old prime
minister replies that it will be hard, but we will try to manage.
Asked about Palestinian terror, he says there is no role for violence
in the Palestinian national struggle.
Humility is
not a trait associated with political leadership, and many of Mr.
Abbas's supporters fear it is not serving him well among his people.
Mr. Abbas is not a man of public charisma. He is a serious person
of decency and integrity who has emerged as the No. 2 in the Palestinian
political structure largely because he knows how to get things done
behind the scenes.
The result
is a kind of prime-minister-despite-himself, a reluctant leader
who dislikes the spotlight. With his arrival in power, the feuding
Palestinian factions — Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Fatah — have agreed
to a cease-fire, giving Israelis and Palestinians their first break
from violence in nearly three years.
Israel's leadership,
including Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and Defense Minister Shaul
Mofaz, say they take Mr. Abbas seriously in his profession of nonviolence
— although so far they have done little to help him survive politically.
The things
Mr. Abbas says are welcome to nearly all Israelis. He vows, through
the use of Palestinian checkpoints and police, to confiscate illegal
weapons (although, for now, he refuses to search for weapons in
people's homes). He says that the past two and a half years of Palestinian
violence have been appalling. And unlike a whole slew of Palestinian
officials, Mr. Abbas seems actually to understand Israel's needs
and plans. Mr. Abbas recognizes that Israelis need security and
that Palestinians must provide it. He reads Israeli opinion polls
and knows that if he does in fact provide such safety, Israeli willingness
to compromise over land and dismantle settlements will be substantial.
Ahmed Tibi,
an Arab member of the Israeli Parliament, says he has, at Abu Mazen's
request, taken the new prime minister around to meet Israelis of
various stripes in their homes, to hear their concerns and desires.
One of the
most delicate issues facing Israeli and Palestinian negotiators
is the right of Palestinian refugees to settle in what is now Israel.
Mr. Abbas was born in what is today the Israeli town of Safed. Mr.
Abbas says he has no desire to return to Safed because it is Israel
and he believes most of his fellow refugees feel the same way (recent
polling data lend support to this view). His notion is to persuade
the Israelis to let the Palestinians assert their right of return
and then make sure the vast majority of Palestinian refugees exercise
it in a way that does not involve moving to Israel, through financial
compensation or settling in the new Palestinian state.
There are reasonable
fears that Mr. Arafat is undermining Mr. Abbas and would like to
see him fail. The single most important step Israel can take — and
here, American encouragement and pressure are central — is to ease
the life of Palestinians through release of prisoners held by Israel,
removal of Israeli roadblocks and checkpoints within Palestinian
cities, and economic improvement. The Palestinian economy is so
weak that any change for the better would be felt quickly and dramatically.
Israel wants
Mr. Abbas to disarm and dismantle radical Palestinian groups before
it gives him stronger support. This is an understandable demand,
but Mr. Abbas says it is politically impossible now and he wants
to consolidate his government's power through persuasion rather
than armed confrontation. It seems worth taking a chance on his
program to bolster his position since it is hard to imagine, for
Israel, a better partner at the moment. Palestinian radicals are
on the defensive since most people here want to move past the violence
of the past few years. If Mr. Abbas produces improvements in daily
life, such pressure will continue. Then Mr. Abbas, the mild-mannered
agent of a quiet revolution in Palestinian politics, may find himself
with just the kind of power and influence he needs.