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day after Yasir Arafat died, USA Today carried a big, bold headline
that caught my eye. It said: "Arafat Dies, Leaves Void."
All I could
think of when reading that headline was its double meaning. Yasir
Arafat left a void of leadership, with no formal successor. But
he also left a void of achievement. And it is that second void that
really matters, considering that he led the Palestinian movement
for some 40 years.
You will pardon
me if I don't join in the insipid chorus about how Arafat's great
achievement was the way he represented the "aspirations" for statehood
of the Palestinian people and, through terrorism and resistance,
put the Palestinian cause on the world map.
Excuse me, but
Yasir Arafat put the Palestinian cause on the world map in 1974,
when he was invited to address the U.N. General Assembly. What did
he do with all that attention after that? Very little. There is
a message in his life and his legacy for every world leader: If
all you do is express the aspirations, but never produce the reality,
then history will judge you very harshly. And any honest history
of Yasir Arafat will judge him on his voids, not his visions.
Will we now
see the emergence of a Palestinian leadership - a broad coalition
from Hamas to Fatah - ready to take the collective decision to really
reconcile with the Jews that Arafat was not ready to make on his
own?
Will Arab leaders,
like Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, who put forth a peace
plan, be ready to really help the Palestinians make the tough decisions
by giving them Arab cover? Or will we simply have another generation
of expressive politics by Arab leaders, who love the Palestinian
cause but not the Palestinian people?
Ariel Sharon
seems to have already started to learn some of the lessons of Arafat's
life. Mr. Sharon was asked recently what made him change his mind,
and risk his own life and political career, to undertake a unilateral
Israeli withdrawal from Gaza after so many years opposing such a
move. His answer: There were things he could see "from here" that
he couldn't see "from there."
In other words,
sitting in the chair of the prime minister, he could suddenly see
the long-term interests of the Israeli people in a different way.
"Sharon has
started to give up his popularity among his own constituency, because
he realizes that the welfare of the Israeli people, as a whole,
requires decisions that are unpopular but unavoidable," said the
Israeli political theorist Yaron Ezrahi. But Sharon cannot stop
just with Gaza. He's got a lot more popularity to give up with his
old constituency if we're going to see a deal on the West Bank.
Finally, what
about President
Bush? When it comes to the Arab-Israel question, he's had a little
bit of Arafat disease himself. He's given some of the best speeches
of any president on the Arab-Israel issue and delivered the most
pathetic diplomacy I have ever seen.
This divide
reflects the paralyzing split in his administration between those
who understand that America will never win the war of ideas in the
Middle East without working seriously on the most emotional issue
in Arab political life - the Palestine question - and those, like
the vice president and secretary of defense, who think the whole
issue is overrated. The first group are right, the second are wrong.
The president needs to choose.
If only President
Bush called in Colin Powell and said: "Colin, neither of us have
much to show by way of diplomacy for the last four years. I want
you to get on an airplane and go out to the Middle East. I want
you to sit down with Israelis and Palestinians and forge a framework
for a secure Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and progress toward a
secure peace in the West Bank, and I don't want you to come back
home until you've got that. Only this time I will stand with you.
"As long as
you're out there, I will not let Rummy or Cheney fire any more arrows
into your back. So get going. It's time for you to stop sulking
over at Foggy Bottom and time for me to make a psychological breakthrough
with the Arab world that can also help us succeed in Iraq - by making
it easier for Arabs and Muslims to stand with us. I don't want to
see you back here until you've put our words into deeds."
Yasir Arafat
preferred to die, beloved by all his people, in a Paris military
hospital - rather than sacrifice his popularity and maybe his life
so that the majority of his people could live and die at home. Will
Ariel Sharon, George Bush and the Arab and Palestinian leaders now
follow his model and play to the crowds, or play to history?