ERUSALEM
-- Two years ago this month, at a summit meeting in Beirut, Lebanon,
Arab leaders adopted a Saudi-initiated resolution that they said
was intended to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. They urged
Israel to relinquish all the territory it captured in the 1967 war
— in the Golan Heights, Gaza Strip, West Bank and East Jerusalem.
They called for a "just" and "agreed" solution to the vexed issue
of Palestinian refugee claims to a right of return to sovereign
Israel. And in exchange they promised to "establish normal relations
with Israel."
Sadly, this
Beirut Declaration made absolutely no impact on the warring protagonists.
The timing couldn't have been worse. Yasir Arafat, leader of the
Palestinian Authority, was busy encouraging "a million martyrs"
— a wafer-thin euphemism for suicide bombers — to march on Jerusalem.
Israel was busy trying to stop them and secure Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon's promised military victory. The Arab proposal was unveiled
the day after the bombing of a Passover seder at a hotel in Netanya,
Israel, which killed 30. Over the course of that March, Israel suffered
more fatalities from terrorist attacks than in any other month in
its modern history.
What's more,
Israel, which was supposed to have been impressed by the reference
to an "agreed" solution on the refugees, found the clause's language
unconvincing, and was infuriated by the declaration's praise for
"the valiant martyrs of the intifada." Finally, there was a strong
sense that the entire initiative amounted to an unsubtle Saudi attempt
at post-9/11 rehabilitation.
But now there
is a second chance for progress — and President
Bush can play a role. Arab League leaders are meeting again, in
Tunis, at the end of the month. The advance word is that the Saudis,
along with Jordan, Egypt and other relatively moderate Arab states,
want to revive their 2002 declaration, and perhaps render it more
appealing to Israel. There have been reports that the Arab leaders
might draw on the Geneva accord, last year's "model" peace deal
formulated by a group of left-wing Israeli politicians and their
Palestinian counterparts.
If the Arab
League follows this course, such an initiative might just offer
a means for the Palestinians, with wider Arab backing, to begin
to escape from Mr. Arafat's malevolent shadow, and for Israelis,
preparing for a unilateral withdrawal from Gaza and parts of the
West Bank, to instead begin a process of agreed territorial compromise
with the ultimate prize of regional normalization.
Since it was
completed last fall, the Geneva accord has signally failed to achieve
its stated purpose — to persuade the mutually mistrustful sides
that the enemy might be amenable to a viable accommodation. But
the antipathy in some cases has more to do with the personalities
involved than with the content of the agreement itself. For example,
the leading role of Yossi Beilin, a former justice minister and
perceived apologist for Mr. Arafat, has generated particular opposition
from Israelis.
That's unfortunate.
In substance, the Geneva accord has its virtues. Though it awards
sovereignty on the Temple Mount to the Palestinians and posits a
full territorial withdrawal (something that's deeply troubling to
me and many Israelis), the agreement does appear to give Israel
discretion over how many refugees from the 1948 and 1967 wars it
would absorb, if any at all. This is a vital concession, and one
that would allay the Israeli fear of being overwhelmed as a Jewish
state by an influx of millions of Palestinians. Were similar proposals
championed by mainstream leaders rather than marginal politicians,
they could represent at least a starting point for new dialogue.
(President Bill Clinton's farewell peace terms, incidentally, also
essentially awarded the Temple Mount to the Palestinians, leaving
Israel with only theoretical sovereignty beneath the surface.)
After three-and-a-half
years enduring a strategic terrorist onslaught that has seen Palestinian
suicide bombers kill innocents in almost every city, Israelis are
desperate for liberation from the constant fear of being blown to
pieces. Dissatisfaction with Mr. Arafat and his deliberate expansion
of violence, meanwhile, is mounting among Palestinians, including
many in Mr. Arafat's Fatah faction. Far from winning additional
territory for the Palestinians, the intifada has led Israel to retake
control of the West Bank cities it relinquished under the Oslo accords
in the mid-1990's and to hasten the construction of its massive
West Bank security barrier. In a cry for constructive leadership,
120,000 Palestinians and 160,000 Israelis have affixed their signatures
to a broad platform for peace promoted by Sari Nusseibeh, a Palestinian
academic, and Ami Ayalon, a former head of Israel's Shin Bet security
service, with far less international backing than the Geneva proponents
enjoyed.
This is where
President Bush comes in. Yes, it's an election year. And yes, presidents
battling for re-election tend not to deepen their involvement in
the Israeli-Palestinian quagmire. But if Mr. Bush were to direct
the State Department to urge Arab leaders in the days ahead of the
summit meeting to try to formulate attractive peace terms, there
is more than a faint possibility that both the collapsing Palestinian
Authority and the increasingly unstable Sharon government might
want to take a fresh look at a revamped Beirut Declaration. This
is not a stretch. After all, the administration has already intimated
some support for Geneva-style thinking as a basis for negotiation:
Secretary of State Colin L. Powell met with some of the framers
last year, and Mr. Bush praised the accord as potentially "productive."
As things stand,
the administration finds itself in a bizarre position. After years
of urging Israel to stop building settlements, the United States
is now imploring Mr. Sharon to reconsider his unilateral proposal
to dismantle the settlements of the Gaza Strip for fear that Hamas
and other terrorist groups would fill the vacuum left by an uncoordinated
Israeli withdrawal. Would it not be better to have Mr. Bush help
Mr. Sharon leave Gaza by agreement — agreement not merely with the
failed Palestinian Authority, but also with the wider Arab world,
and with every outside player pledging enthusiastic backing? A coordinated
effort on this, the most inflammatory of conflicts, could in turn
help foster a broader improvement of American-Arab relations, changing
the dynamic in ties with the Saudis, perhaps even the Syrians too.
The risks of
engagement are significant for Mr. Bush. But, as the growing despair,
hostility and bloodshed in the region make plain, so too are the
dangers of inaction.
David Horovitz,
editor of The Jerusalem Report, is the author of "Still Life with
Bombers: Israel in the Age of Terrorism."