omething
is brewing in Gaza that may help U.S. officials think through how
to deal with what is boiling in Iraq.
Consider an
intriguing article on Tuesday in the Israeli newspaper Haaretz pointing
out that Yasir Arafat's Palestinian Authority and Hamas, longtime
rivals, had "made a great deal of progress" toward setting up a
new administration to run Gaza after Israel's unilateral withdrawal.
The article quoted Hamas leaders as saying that they were willing
to participate in the administration of Gaza now that it is being
"liberated" — for which Hamas claims credit — and not being turned
over in the context of the Oslo peace accords.
Here's the
message I take from this: There is nothing like the burden of responsibility
to promote accountability. Ariel Sharon has declared his intention
to withdraw Israeli forces and settlements from the Gaza Strip —
without any formal agreement with the Palestinians. Mr. Sharon has
given up on negotiating with Arafat, let alone Hamas, but he finally
understands that Israel cannot go on controlling all these Palestinian
lands and remain a Jewish democracy. So he is unilaterally pulling
out of Gaza, just as his predecessor, Ehud Barak, pulled out of
South Lebanon: you want it, it's yours.
What the Haaretz
story tells me is that Arafat and Hamas understand two things: One,
the morning after Israel's pullout, they will get to pat themselves
on the back for being Gaza's liberators. And two, the morning after
the morning after, the Gazans will be tapping Arafat and Hamas leaders
on their shoulders to ask for jobs, water and electricity. Yes,
Arafat and Hamas will continue to blame Israel for shortages of
all those things, but those charges won't quite fly once the Israelis
pull out — provided Israel is smart and allows Gaza openings to
the world so it doesn't become just a big prison, and Israel also
withdraws settlements from the West Bank.
Ask Hezbollah.
For all of its boasts about driving the Israelis out of South Lebanon
and marching next on Jerusalem, since the Israeli pullout to a U.N.-approved
border, Hezbollah has never dared cross that border in force. Why?
Because Hezbollah knows that Israel, having pulled back to the U.N.
border, has the moral and strategic high ground, and would blow
up the power plants of Beirut if Hezbollah invaded. And Hezbollah
doesn't want that responsibility.
"Maybe it's
good that Hamas wants to claim credit for driving Israel out — if
they are responsible for liberating Gaza, they are also responsible
for running it," said the Israeli scholar Yaron Ezrahi. "It diminishes
Israel's responsibility and increases Hamas's at the same time.
The only way to really reduce the violence is when you create a
context where Palestinian leaders, not Israel, are held accountable
by their own people for the negative fallout from violence."
And this leads
to our challenge in Iraq. America's Baghdad boss, Paul Bremer, is
absolutely right when he insists that we must turn over sovereignty
to Iraqis on June 30, as promised. Why? Because we may have trained
thousands of Iraqi policemen, but without a government of their
own, they are defending America — which they will never do with
vigor. The only thing they might defend is a government of their
own. Moreover, right now many Iraqi leaders blame the U.S. for what
is going wrong in Iraq. The Bush team deserves much blame, but not
all. Iraq's nascent leaders will act in a concerted and responsible
fashion only when they — like Hamas, Arafat and Hezbollah — have
the burden of responsibility.
I'm not advocating
unilateral withdrawal from Iraq. I am advocating putting every ounce
of energy we have behind the U.N. effort to replace the current
Iraqi Governing Council with a legitimate, broad-based caretaker
government to run Iraq from July 1, 2004, until elections in January
2005. Hard, but not impossible.
After decades
of colonialism and misrule, and then a traumatic dictatorship in
an already tribalized society, Iraqi national identity is weak —
and insecurity only weakens it more by prompting people to fall
back on their tribal units. But there is an Iraqi identity. It takes
security, though, for it to emerge. Even Iraqis don't know how strong
it is, and they won't know until they are handed the keys.
Only then can
we gradually shift the burden for Iraq's self-construction or self-destruction
to Iraqis themselves. Only then will they begin to be accountable
— and accountability is the mother of both self-restraint and self-government.