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Mideast needs more, not less, diplomacy
In Iraq, the administration
has bet everything on a future that will not happen: Iraqis rallying
behind a strong central government. It has ignored the need for a political
solution based on federalism that gives local control to Iraq's warring
factions. By stubbornly sticking with a failed policy, it is frittering
away the diplomatic capital and resources it needs to deal with other
challenges.
In Lebanon, two
years after the Cedar Revolution, the administration has delivered little
military assistance to the embattled government, while Iran and Syria
lavish Hezbollah with arms and cash.
In the Palestinian
Territories, the administration overruled Prime Minister Sharon and
many Palestinians and insisted that the January 2006 legislative elections
go forward, despite having failed to empower Palestinian President Mahmoud
Abbas. The result was a Hamas victory.
Now, the administration
is taking regional diplomacy more seriously. But its efforts to undo
the damage of the past six years are leading it to new strategic miscalculations.
The administration
subcontracted to Saudi Arabia the power to broker a deal for a national
unity government between Abbas' Fatah party and Hamas, without insisting
on red lines any deal could not cross.
Hamas now has what
it most craves -- legitimacy in the eyes of the Arab world, which could
serve as a bridge to wider international legitimacy. It gives up nothing
in return. The Mecca agreement does not require Hamas to meet the demands
of the Quartet (the United States, the European Union, Russia and the
United Nations): recognize Israel, renounce violence and accept past
agreements. Mecca has undercut the administration's most ambitious involvement
in the peace process and its belated effort to bolster Abbas.
Even without Mecca,
the administration's renewed interest in Israeli-Palestinian peace is
driven by flawed logic: the desire to gain greater cooperation from
moderate Arab countries -- Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the other
Gulf States -- in containing Iran's expanding influence.
Those countries
have a powerful self-interest in diminishing Iran's influence that requires
no inducements. They should be taking risks to support Israeli-Palestinian
peace so as to ease regional tensions and isolate Iran. If the Saudis
and others mean what they say about wanting a two-state solution, now
is the time to begin the process of normalizing relations with Israel.
Meanwhile, authoritative
reports say that the administration is telling Israel not to talk to
Syria. Syria's overtures may not be sincere, but Israel should be permitted
to call its bluff.
A Syrian-Israeli
peace process could have significant strategic benefits. It could place
pressure on the Hamas leadership in Damascus and strain the Iranian-Syrian
marriage of convenience. Combined with U.S.-Syrian engagement, it could
reduce Syria's destructive influence in Lebanon and limit Hezbollah's
room for maneuver. Syria's behavior in each of these areas has worsened
during the period the administration has shunned direct engagement.
The Middle East
has entered a tumultuous period that demands more -- not less -- diplomacy.
The priorities should be:
Restore
American credibility and flexibility through an all-out effort to achieve
a political settlement in Iraq and redeploy our combat troops by 2008.
To learn the details of my proposal, visit www.planforiraq.com.
Urgently
deliver military aid to Lebanon and shift the balance of power
away from Hezbollah; gain U.N. Security Council approval to establish
an International Tribunal for the murders of former Prime Minister Rafiq
Hariri and others, making moot Syria's efforts to undermine a mixed
Lebanese-international tribunal.
Facilitate,
don't prevent, Israeli-Syrian talks. Directly engage with Syria to support
such talks and confront Syria's destabilizing actions in Lebanon and
Iraq.
Intensify
pressure on Iran over its nuclear program with coordinated international
sanctions that isolate Tehran, not the United States; engage Iran directly
to exploit fissures within the government and between the government
and the people; present a positive vision for U.S.-Iran relations if
Iran does the right thing.
Back
Israel's interest in engaging Abbas; demand that the Palestinian National
Unity government meet the Quartet criteria; press Arab states to start
normalizing ties with Israel; support moderate alternatives to Hamas
in the Palestinian territories.
The administration's
record does little to inspire confidence that it can tackle this agenda.
But the cost of not even trying will be tremendous. Hamas will consolidate
its position; Iran's influence will continue to grow; Iraq will descend
into chaos and its neighbors will intervene; Syria and Hezbollah will
continue to destabilize Lebanon; and the prospects for peace between
Israelis and Palestinians will recede even further. That legacy will
take a long time to undo.
Sen. Joe Biden,
D-Del., is chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
© 2007 Miami
Herald Media Company.
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