here
are few things you can count on in life. But one is that NATO will
end its annual summit, as it did a few weeks ago, with a call for
the creation of "a NATO rapid reaction force" to deal with the "new
threats of the 21st century." When all else fails, when you can't
think of anything for an alliance to do, call for a rapid reaction
force. I weep for the trees that will now be chopped down for all
the think-tank studies about what this NATO force should do.
A NATO rapid
reaction force? Oh, please. A NATO expanded to 26 countries is not
going to be reacting rapidly anywhere. NATO already has a rapid
reaction force, the only one it needs. It's called the U.S. Army
Special Forces. What NATO needs to be relevant is not a new rapid
reaction force, it's a bigger no-motion force — a NATO peacekeeping
army. We don't need a NATO that can run. We need a NATO that can
sit — in more places than Bosnia and Kosovo. And today there's no
more important place for NATO to sit than between Israelis and Palestinians.
A year ago
I suggested that Israelis and Palestinians invite NATO to take control
of the West Bank, Gaza and Arab areas of East Jerusalem (with minor
border adjustments agreed by both sides) — both to supervise the
creation of a Palestinian state and to serve as a permanent border
guard between the two.
The logic was
obvious: Israel can't remain in the territories and continue to
be a Jewish democracy, and Israel can't just pick up and leave the
territories and remain a secure Jewish democracy. Palestinians are
not ready to run those areas responsibly. But just letting their
vicious conflict burn on will become increasingly dangerous and
costly to the U.S. Al Qaeda and all other anti-American forces will
draw energy from it — energy they will use to attack Jews and undermine
whatever the U.S. tries to accomplish in Iraq.
What to do?
The collapse of the Oslo peace, and the subsequent violence, has
made an Israeli-Palestinian deal more necessary, but less possible.
The mutual trust needed for a self-sustaining peace is gone. The
only way out is for a trusted third party to take over the territories
and separate the two. The only viable party is a U.S.-led NATO force.
The main Israeli
criticism of this idea has been that such an international force
would block Israel from hot pursuit of Palestinian terrorists, who
would kill Jews and then run behind NATO, and NATO itself would
become a target. The fact is, though, Ariel Sharon has adopted a
policy of hot pursuit and it has resulted in the Palestinian Authority's
being destroyed and more Israelis being killed and feeling insecure
than ever. The only way Israel is going to have security is if Palestinians
provide it by restraining their own, which will happen only when
they have a responsible state, which can emerge only under energetic
NATO supervision — not Israeli occupation.
Palestinians
are increasingly warming to this idea, because they see it as a
way of easing out Yasir Arafat and as their only route to statehood.
What's really interesting, though, is how many Israelis — who would
also like to see Mr. Arafat removed, but don't want the Israeli
Army to fill the vacuum — are now getting interested.
The cover story
of the latest issue of the centrist Israeli magazine Jerusalem Report
was an article from Kosovo stating that "several high-profile diplomats
are convinced that a Kosovo-style international trusteeship over
the Palestinian territories provides the only way out of the conflict.
And many Israelis are starting to take an interest — including some
on the right."
Indeed, the
right-leaning Jerusalem Post ran two articles last week about a
proposal by a former U.S. ambassador to Israel, Martin Indyk, for
a U.S.-led trusteeship — backed by American, British and Australian
special forces — that would oversee the building of a democratic
Palestinian state while uprooting the terrorist infrastructure.
"President Bush has laid out a grand vision of a democratic Palestinian
state, living alongside a secure Israel," said Mr. Indyk. "But he
has failed to articulate an effective mechanism for achieving it.
Some form of trusteeship is the only workable alternative."
The Bush team
can either get ahead of this idea and shape it, or it can get dragged
into it because of a total breakdown between Israelis and Palestinians
during or after an Iraq war. But it's coming, because it's the only
way out. And by the way, all you Europeans in NATO who favor a Palestinian
state — here's a chance to put your sons where your heart is.